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150602P - PRIORITY RESEARCH AREAS ON THE MERS-Co EPIDEMIC

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A proposal by Professor Omar Hasan Kasule Sr. MB ChB (MUK). M{H (Harvard), DrPH (Harvard)


1.0 PRIORITY AREAS OF RESEARCH
1.1 First Priority: Epidemiological Studies
1.1.1   Case control studies to refine the case definition, describe the natural history, identify risk/susceptibility factors of infection (sociodemographic, genetic, immunological, environmental, behavioral, and co-morbidities)
1.1.2   Studies of time-space clustering of cases of the disease to identify environmental factors
1.1.3   Identifying animal reservoirs/hosts and working out the full transmission cycle
1.1.4   Risk factors of transmission to healthcare workers and family members
1.1.5   Large sero epidemiological studies in the general population and specific target populations such as animal handlers
1.1.6   Retrospective sero epidemiological studies on stored serum and tissue samples to establish whether the virus or its variants existed in the Kingdom before 2012
1.1.7 Study of the existing screening and diagnostic tests: sensitivity, specificity, predictive value etc)

1.2 Second Priority: Immunization And Therapy
1.2.1   Virology: Sequencing the virus and identifying virulence genes. Studying variations in viral properties (if any) and their relation to virulence
1.2.2   Antiviral drugs: Basic and applied research on rapid production of monoclonal antibodies (neutralizing and others) using genetic engineering and other advanced technologies
1.2.3   Clinical studies: Clinical trials of existing anti-virals like ribaflavin as well as interferons

1.3 Third Priority: Public Health Preventive Measures
1.3.1 Population based and hospital-based studies of knowledge, attitudes and practices regarding preventive measures
1.3.2 Assessment of compliance of hospitals and health care workers with MERS-Co guidelines issues by the Ministry of Health
1.3.3 Assessment of the impact of public preventive measures undertaken since 2012.

2.0 BACKGROUND
2.1   The first case of MERS-Co was reported in Jeddah in 2012[1]. Infection has been confirmed to date in over 1000 patients about half of whom died from the disease. The infection is severe requiring ICU admission with a high mortality rate[2]. The high mortality is due to co-morbidities, age above 65, low albumin, and male gender[3], [4].

2.2   The transmission cycle is not fully known. Spread seems to be person to person either from family contacts or hospital contacts. The majority of infections were reported from health care workers or other patients[5]. Transmission of the infection was relatively low in healthcare workers in contact with infected patients[6] as well as household contacts[7]. Finding of the virus in camels and their handlers suggested an animal reservoir but this has not yet been proved conclusively[8], [9], [10], [11], [12], [13], [14].

2.3   The Ministry of Health has undertaken many measures to contain the infection inter alia public education, provision of facilities for washing hands, surveillance etc. The infection shows seasonal variations that may relate to patterns of human interactions, a reservoir host, or virulent mutations. The virus seems stable[15], [16]and the epidemic cannot be due to virulent mutations.

2.4   Because of the large numbers of pilgrims who come to Saudi Arabia every year, MERS-Co could become a world-wide epidemic. There is an urgency to understand the epidemiological and virological aspects of this infection in order to plan evidence-based prevention.

2.5   So far no antibiotic or vaccine has been developed for the infection. Work is proceeding on monoclonal neutralizing antibodies but there is no breakthrough yet[17], [18]. Vaccine development faces obstacles of finding a suitable animal model. Pharmaceutical companies are reluctant to invest in vaccine development because the number of cases is so far too low[19] to assure good returns on the investment.

2.6   There is no effective treatment. Ribaflavin and interferon have not been proved yet to be effective[20].

2.7   Available epidemiological, virological, and clinical knowledge does not provide an adequate base of evidence-based knowledge to plan effective public health measures. The Ministry has therefore launched the present research effort in priority areas.

3.0 APPLICATION FOR AND AWARD OF RESEARCH GRANTS
3.1 Initial submission
3.1.1   A 1-2 page concept paper identifying the knowledge gap to be covered by the research, the objectives, the methods, the time line, and a list of researchers with degrees and current positions.
3.1.2   The concept paper shall be sent to Ahmad Hersi Chairman of the Science Advisory Board at MOH ahersi@moh.gov who will review and respond within one week whether a full proposal should be submitted.

3.2 Final submission
The full proposal shall be submitted using the KASCT forms and following all KACST requirements for funded research.

3.3 Review of the proposals
The proposals shall be referred to local and international reviewers and a decision shall be made within 4-8 weeks.

3.4 Research awards
3.5.1   Research awards shall be from the Ministry of Health under the authority of the Deputy Minister for Public Health; first instalments shall be disbursed within 4 weeks of final approval.
3.5.2   KASCT guidelines will be followed in all aspects of grant administration and follow up.


REFERENCES


[1] Recent Pat Antiinfect Drug Discov. 2015 Apr 8.

[2] J Intensive Care Med. 2015 Apr 9.

[3] Int J Infect Dis. 2014 Dec;29:301-6.

[4] Int J Gen Med. 2014 Aug 20;7:417-23.

[5] N Engl J Med. 2015 Feb 26;372(9):846-54.

[6] Emerg Infect Dis. 2014 Dec;20(12):2148-51.

[7] N Engl J Med. 2014 Aug 28;371(9):828-35.

[8] Virus Genes. 2015 Feb 5.

[9] Recent Pat Antiinfect Drug Discov. 2015 Apr 8.

[10] Lancet Infect Dis. 2015 May;15(5):559-64.

[11] Emerg Themes Epidemiol. 2015 Feb 18;12:3.

[12] PLoS Curr. 2014 Nov 24;6.

[13] Virol Sin. 2014 Dec;29(6):364-71.

[14] Emerg Infect Dis. 2014 Nov;20(11):1821-7.

[15] Clin Infect Dis. 2015 Feb 1;60(3):369-77.

[16] Trends Microbiol. 2014 Oct;22(10):573-9.

[17] J Virol. 2014 Jul;88(14):7796-805.

[18] Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2014 May 13;111(19):E2018-26.

[19] Expert Rev Vaccines. 2015 Apr 11:1-14.
[20] Int J Infect Dis. 2014 Mar;20:42-6.